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- Pro Tip # 159: Coin Flips
Pro Tip # 159: Coin Flips
- By Ben Roberts
- Published 09/8/2008
- FullTilt Poker Tips
- Unrated
Whether or not you decide
to get into a coin flip situation in poker really depends upon what type of
game you're playing. I'm far more likely to take on one of these challenges
when I'm playing in a cash game than when I'm playing in a tournament, and I'm
also more likely to do so when I'm playing in a live game as opposed to play in an online poker site.
If you're playing in a cash
game, getting into a 50-50 race can occasionally produce greater results beyond
simply winning the hand. If you win a race, you can often expect your opponent
to become a worse player almost immediately after the hand is over. This will
give you the opportunity to take even more money from him over the course of
the next several hours. Therefore, I'm more willing to get into a coin flip situation
with players who have less control over their emotions after losing a big hand
this way.
Conversely, if my opponent
wins the hand, he's not going to get rewarded as much since I'm not going to
play any differently after losing a big hand in this manner. Although winning
is extremely important to me, I believe people put too high a premium on
winning in the short-term, for example, over the course of a session or two.
When they fail to win, they become possessed with a sense of shame and
depression, but I believe poker is supposed to be a journey of joy and fun.
Beyond my opponent's
demeanor, one of the biggest factors in deciding whether or not I'm willing to
get into a race is the amount of money I've invested in the hand. If I've
already put some money into the pot and I'm sure it's a 50-50 situation, then
no matter how much my opponent raises he won't be able to get rid of me. If I
folded, I would be literally throwing away the money I already put in there,
and I'm not in the habit of doing that.
Here's an example of a coin
flip situation after the flop. Let's say you have A-K of clubs, and the flop
comes 9-8-2 with two clubs. Because you have two overcards and a flush draw,
this is a nice spot to go on the offensive if somebody makes a bet. If your opponent
has made top pair with a hand like 10-9, it's about a 50-50 situation, but you
have plenty of outs to justify your aggression.
However, if you raise and
your opponent comes over the top of you, you have to suspect that he has a set
and you can no longer depend on a king or an ace being an out. At this point,
all you have is flush draw and it's no longer a coin flip situation. Unless
you're both deep-stacked and think your opponent will pay you off if you do hit
your flush, you should back off and wait for a better situation. But don't lose
your initiative and remember to keep playing aggressively.
Now let's turn it around.
The flop is the same, but now you have pocket jacks and your opponent is the
one who has two overcards and a flush draw. You bet, and your opponent raises.
How you proceed really depends upon what sort of player you're up against.
Because of situations like
this one, I prefer live games to online poker games. I tend to make more accurate
decisions in live games. Most of the time I can get a read on my opponent, and
I can capitalize on that. If I feel like he only has two overcards because he
just called my raise before the flop, I'll call and see what the turn brings.
But if I raised before the flop and he reraised me, then I'll throw my jacks
away because he could very well have a bigger pair than mine.
My rationale completely
changes in a tournament. In the latter stages of a tournament your chips are
worth more than they were at the beginning so your first concern should be
protecting them, which often means avoiding coin flip situations. After the
money bubble bursts, you get financially rewarded whenever a player gets
knocked out so quite often the smartest move is to avoid getting into coin flip
situations and waiting for a better spot.
Like many aspects of poker,
the decision of whether or not to get into a coin flip situation depends on a
variety of factors, the most important of which are the type of game you're
playing and the demeanor of the opponent you're playing against.
